According to a nationwide survey conducted by Global InfoAnalytics, 55% of voters do not think the New Patriotic Party (NPP) will be able to defeat the incumbent in the 2024 presidential election.
Nonetheless, the report stated that 27% of voters thought the NPP might break the “8,” with 18% of voters still undecided (8).
“Only Eastern and Ashanti regions with a majority of 47 per cent and 46 per cent believe the NPP will break the eight,” the results revealed. It said the poll also showed that only 60 per cent of voters who voted for President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo in the 2020 election intend to vote for the flag bearer of the NPP, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia while 19 per cent intend to vote for the flag bear of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), John Mahama, nine per cent will vote for the founder and leader of the Movement for Alan Kyerematen of Movement for Change (M4C) and two percent for Nana Kwame Bediako, the head of the New Force Movement (NFM). According to the report, 92% of voters who supported Mr. Mahama in the 2020 election want to support him once more, 3% will support Dr. Bawumia, 2% will support Mr. Kyerematen, and 1% will support Nana Bediako.
5,928 of the 6,128 voters who were questioned for the study provided answers to questions about their preferred candidates for the December 2024 election, with a margin of error of 1.66 percent and a confidence level of 99 percent.
Using the 2023 voters registry from the Electoral Commission as a sample frame, thirty percent of the constituencies in each area were chosen at random, and the regional quota was distributed based on the total number of voters in each of the chosen seats.
It explained that the presidential result was based on ‘likely voters’ model while the regional and constituency polls were based on all voters’ model which included responses of voters who had indicated that they would not vote.
It said the poll was cross-sectional and was carried out in 82 constituencies in all the 16 regions, adding that the polls were not carried out in churches, mosques, associations or in groups to avoid herding.
MPs rating
The polls showed that majority of voters, 35 per cent, rate the performance of their Members of Parliament (MPs) as average. Only 22 per cent rate performance of their MPs as very good/good, while 23 per cent rate their performance as poor/very poor with 11 per cent rating their MPs as excellent while 10 per cent did not have an opinion.
The poll, which was conducted between March 22 and March 30 this year indicated that 47 per cent of voters voted for NPP candidates in the 2020 parliamentary elections, 43 per cent voted for NDC candidates.
2024 parliamentary elections
With regard to the 2024 parliamentary elections, 48 per cent of voters now intend to vote for NDC candidates compared to 34 per cent for NPP, “suggesting that NDC is more than likely to form the majority in the next Parliament”.
It said the results showed the NPP making some grounds in the parliamentary elections following the selection of fresh faces during their primaries in January 2024.
“In the January 2024 poll, the NDC led the generic parliamentary race by 52 per cent to 31 per cent, a 21 per cent lead which has now been cut to 14 per cent,” it said.
The poll revealed that on parliamentary constituency from the current poll, the NDC leads in 49 constituencies, NPP in 31 constituencies while there is a tie in two constituencies.
Source: graphiconline.com
